Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 58.853728 66.960673 75.303463 84.497180 94.311923 104.445696 115.669518
2025-07-06 44.736850 56.030314 68.258602 82.342660 97.984081 114.702441 133.805722
2025-07-13 39.360161 52.758570 67.779348 85.580432 105.836184 127.932456 153.631786
2025-07-20 34.637404 49.462858 66.616992 87.457563 111.661127 138.506736 170.172938
2025-07-27 29.708538 45.292846 63.908102 87.073844 114.497597 145.380559 182.271158
2025-08-03 25.445680 41.456622 61.192696 86.320593 116.596771 151.161704 192.913055
2025-08-10 22.432056 38.884920 59.755217 86.865293 120.025969 158.319950 205.001802
2025-08-17 19.354945 35.903370 57.545462 86.243478 121.880917 163.501017 214.690431
2025-08-24 17.025561 33.707178 56.155786 86.482989 124.648933 169.659064 225.440229
2025-08-31 14.560361 31.051055 53.958465 85.530053 125.820706 173.816508 233.759340
2025-09-07 13.115458 29.763691 53.495545 86.722338 129.584242 181.034140 245.664854
2025-09-14 11.914249 28.725821 53.287085 88.179167 133.631240 188.564775 257.928250
2025-09-21 10.146424 26.599896 51.445810 87.417162 134.863036 192.702208 266.205465
2025-09-28 8.237241 23.977731 48.713147 85.318642 134.286283 194.555173 271.689527
2025-10-05 7.868860 24.047209 49.931782 88.606937 140.657081 204.980623 287.549310
2025-10-12 7.214964 23.506612 50.182749 90.524888 145.228552 213.170960 300.703602
2025-10-19 6.130061 21.984331 48.832667 90.132961 146.723530 217.494662 309.125826
2025-10-26 5.100850 20.399229 47.274829 89.364484 147.660539 221.076816 316.610689
2025-11-02 4.427948 19.456462 46.675452 89.920240 150.326156 226.815664 326.735283
2025-11-09 3.640416 18.096727 45.301999 89.285790 151.347973 230.441858 334.233618
2025-11-16 3.078098 17.154883 44.559422 89.530173 153.524794 235.517611 343.516334
2025-11-23 2.429679 15.817153 43.044345 88.557820 153.996838 238.381119 350.028040
2025-11-30 2.118950 15.338718 42.998607 89.774384 157.457787 245.079594 361.325091